The Fed and the stock market are set for a showdown this week. What’s at stake.

Let’s get ready to rumble. The Federal Reserve and investors appear to be locked in what one veteran market watcher has described as an epic game of “chicken.” What Fed Chair Jerome Powell says Wednesday could determine the winner. Here’s the conflict. Fed policy makers have steadily insisted that the fed-funds rate, now at 4.25% … Read more

Investors may be whistling past the graveyard of a recession with latest rally in stocks

Investors feeling giddy about last week’s sharp rally for stocks might want to give a listen to Tom Waits’ song, “Whistlin’ Past the Graveyard” from 1978, to sober up for the dangers that still lurk ahead. The surge in stocks catapulted the S&P 500 index SPX, +0.92% almost back to the 4,000 mark on Friday, … Read more

Fed says it may hike interest rates at slower pace, but destination is now 5% or higher

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday approved the fourth straight jumbo increase in a key U.S. interest rate and signaled rates are likely to go higher than previously forecast. News of a higher terminal rate overshadowed more dovish comments from the central bank statement that it might move more slowly to better evaluate the effects on … Read more

Another jumbo Fed rate hike is expected this week — and then life gets difficult for Powell

First the easy part. Economists widely expect Federal Reserve monetary-policy makers to approve a fourth straight jumbo interest-rate rise at its meeting this week. A hike of three-quarters of a percentage point would bring the central bank’s benchmark rate to a level of 3.75%- 4%. “The November decision is a lock. Well, I would be … Read more

Municipal Bonds Are Offering the Yields You’re Looking For. Here’s Where to Look.

A historic rout in the bond market this year has resulted in the highest yields on municipal bonds in 15 years—and what looks like an excellent buying opportunity. At midweek, the muni market, as measured by the Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index, was down 13%, its worst showing in at least 40 years, as the yield … Read more

Why stock-market investors fear ‘something else will break’ as Fed attacks inflation

Some investors are on edge that the Federal Reserve may be overtightening monetary policy in its bid to tame hot inflation, as markets look ahead to a reading this coming week from the Fed’s preferred gauge of the cost of living in the U.S.   “Fed officials have been scrambling to scare investors almost every … Read more

This stock market strategist says the coming recession could be the biggest ever. ‘I recommend prayer.’

Keith McCullough, founder and CEO of Hedgeye Risk Management, isn’t one to mince words about financial markets, the Federal Reserve or the economy. Right now he has a few less-than-charitable things to say about how the Fed’s rate hikes have ground up stock and bond investors. His investment-research firm’s economic models turned bearish on stocks and … Read more

Dow futures jump over 300 points on bets market is oversold after blue-chip gauge falls into bear market

U.S. stock-index futures on Tuesday pointed to Wall Street bouncing off a 21-month low and snapping a five-day losing streak as recent volatility in global bond and currency markets subsided. How are stock-index futures trading Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average YM00, +1.06% climbed 321 points, or 1.1%, to 29,664. S&P 500 futures ES00, … Read more

Stocks crashing? No, but here’s why this bear market feels so painful — and what you can do about it.

Hashtags about a stock-market crash may be trending on Twitter, but the selloff that has sent U.S. equities into a bear market has been relatively orderly, say market professionals. But it’s likely to get more volatile — and painful — before the market stabilizes. It was indeed a white-knuckle ride for investors Friday as the … Read more

Tumbling Markets Imperil Tech, the Dollar, and Private Equity

Text size Japan has had to intervene to support the sliding yen for the first time since 1998, even as it tries to keep its interest rates low. Akio Kon/Bloomberg The world has been hooked on cheap money for years. Now we’re witnessing what withdrawal looks like. Lifting interest rates from nil has produced a … Read more